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Thread: Predictions for Worlds for ladies in Tokyo?

  1. #1

    Default Predictions for Worlds for ladies in Tokyo?

    Now that we know there's not gonna be a qualifying round, I think the skater who can put together two solid performances will take the title.

    I think it's shaping up to be an intriguing battle...

    What are your predictions for the podium and how do you think things will pan out?

    For me, my podium picks are :

    Gold : Miki
    Silver : Mao
    Bronze : Kimmie


    For short program, this is the scenario I predict :

    I think Mao will deliver once again with her lyrical and amazing performance, putting herself in first; coming in second will be Miki, with a solid short that includes a 3-3; Yu-Na is a close third, also able to have a 3-3. Kimmie stumbles a bit in her combo jump but manages to be in 4th place; Emily again skates with her trademark enthusiasm and the judges reward her with a 5th place finish even though she doesn't have a 3-3. Alissa pops one of her jumps and finishes 6th.

    For the long program, I think this will happen :

    Miki is on fire, turning in a performance similar to that in Skate America and winning her her first Worlds. Mao falls once but her superior artisty still holds her up, enough to earn her a silver medal. Kimmie comes out with fire after her somewhat disappointing short, but because her artistry and musicality are not quite there yet, she is just a hair behind Mao to get the bronze. Alissa makes an incredible comeback, but again she has too much ground to make up and hence she is fourth. Yu-Na doubles several of her planned triples but manages to do a 3-3 to keep her in fifth place; Emily, being more of a short program skater, doesn't skate cleanly, with two falls, and finishes sixth.

    Guys, what say you?

  2. #2

    Default

    If Yu Na Kim is heathly and can go to Worlds, I think she has a good chance of winning. She seems to have gotten the best of Mao lately, like at the Grand Prix Final.

  3. #3

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    I'm not very good at this game but I'll play.

    I say Yu-Na Gold, Mao Silver, Miki Bronze.

    Unfortunately, I don't think the US ladies will be on the podium and I hope we will be able to get 3 spots for next year. I am worried that our ladies will not come close. Hope I am wrong. But, I am hoping Alissa has the skate of her life.



  4. #4

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    I'm hoping for:

    Gold:Yu-Na
    Silver: Mao
    Bronze: Alissa

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  5. #5

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    Gold: Yu-Na (I just hope she will be well enough to compete.)
    Silver: Mao
    Bronze: Fumie (hey, I can wish, can't I?)

    I hope she doesn't, but I just have an icky feeling that Miki might bomb out in the LP...
    Last edited by batmantis; February 1st, 2007 at 12:45 AM.

  6. #6
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    Default

    Alissa/Kimime
    Alissa/Kimmie
    Mao


  7. #7

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    Yu Na
    Kimmie
    Mao

    It will be interesting, the pressure's on Kimmie and Mao more than the others. Mao does not always skate a perfect or inspired program.

  8. #8

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    My prediction is that Miki, Mao, and Kimmie will end up on the podium. However, my hope is that Alyssa, Fumie, and another Japanese girl actually take the spots. I would hate to see either Kimmie or Emily up there.

  9. #9

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    It is in Japan. Mao just does not lose in Japan; she kicks all sorts of global beehinds there. She'll win by a large margin. Yu Na will also skate great and beat the rest of the pack by a large margin, but she'll still lag pretty far behind a clean Mao. Miki really struggles to make it to the end of a season and seems to feel more of the "at home" pressure than the other Japanese[maybe she needs a dog ]. I see Miki off the podium. I think third is between Kimmie, Sarah and Carolina. Kimmie is the best pressure skater of the three so I have to give it to her although Sarah's skating style has really grown on me this year. Nakano won NHK in 2005 so if her leg wrap keeps her vertical and she hits her 3A, she could knock off an under-performing Kimmie.

  10. #10

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    My predictions for Tokyo...

    Short Program:
    1. Mao Asada
    2. Miki Ando
    3. Yu-Na Kim
    4. Kimmie Meissner
    5. Sarah Meier
    6. Emily Hughes
    7. Carolina Kostner
    8. Joannie Rochette


    Long Program:
    1. Kimmie Meissner
    2. Yu-Na Kim
    3. Mao Asada
    4. Sarah Meier
    5. Miki Ando
    6. Carolina Kostner
    7. Emily Hughes
    8. Joannie Rochette

    OVERALL:
    1. Mao Asada
    2. Kimmie Meissner
    3. Yu-Na Kim
    4. Miki Ando
    5. Sarah Meier
    6. Carolina Kostner
    7. Emily Hughes
    8. Joannie Rochette
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  11. Shades

    GOLD: Tugba wins. Nuff said. Nothing else matters


    Tugba's 2006/2007 Ranking At ISU: #61 --- She Moved Up 6 Spots!!
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  12. #12

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    Quote Originally Posted by Arch View Post
    My prediction is that Miki, Mao, and Kimmie will end up on the podium. However, my hope is that Alyssa, Fumie, and another Japanese girl actually take the spots. I would hate to see either Kimmie or Emily up there.
    Is Fumie competing at Worlds too? Is a country allowed to send four skaters?

    Could someone clarify this for me please?

    Thanks!

  13. #13

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    Quote Originally Posted by Guesswho View Post
    Is Fumie competing at Worlds too? Is a country allowed to send four skaters?

    Could someone clarify this for me please?

    Thanks!
    Unless something has changed recently Fumie will not be going to Worlds.
    Japan is sending Asada, Ando and Nakano top three at Japan Nationals.
    I believe Fumie came in fourth.

  14. #14
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    I'd go with chipso's predictions, only I'd trade Yu-na, and Mao.
    Never let your sense of morals prevent you from doing what's right. ~Isaac Asimov

  15. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by KwansPrayerWarrior View Post
    GOLD: Tugba wins. Nuff said. Nothing else matters

    admit it, you just like saying Tugba
    Never let your sense of morals prevent you from doing what's right. ~Isaac Asimov

  16. #16
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    Maybe it's just pre competition deja vu. But I've got this strange feeling that Emily is going to give a slam-bang skate and win Worlds. I do hope the U.S. team does well and Emily and Kimmie both make the podium. And who knows what Kimmie will do? She's surprised us before.

  17. #17
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    What I could see happening:
    1. Yu-Na Kim
    2. Mao Asada
    3. Carolina Kostner
    4. Miki Ando
    5. Joannie Rochette
    6. Sarah Meier
    7. Kimmie Meissner
    8. Yukari Nakano
    9. Emily Hughes
    10. Kiira Korpi
    11. Elene Gedevanishvili
    12. Alissa Czisny
    13. Julia Sebestyen
    14. Mira Leung

    What I want to happen:
    1. Joannie Rochette
    2. Carolina Kostner
    3. Sarah Meier
    Last edited by Dream Again; February 1st, 2007 at 09:55 AM.

  18. #18

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    All I know is that Mao Asada will win the short program--everything else is a toss-up! Go Alissa!


  19. #19

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    Ok, I will group it by personal opinion.

    Skaters I would not be surprised to see on the podium: Mao, Yu-Na, Miki, Kimmie
    Skaters I would be slightly surprised but not shocked to see on the podium: Sarah Meier, Carolina Kostner
    Skaters I would be more than a little surprised to see on the podium: Joannie Rochette, Emily Hughes, Yukari Nakano, Julia Sebestyen, Alissa Czisny, Mira Leung.

    Actual podium prediction: I expect Mao to win it, and then a three-way fight for second and third. Yu-Na's injury will be a major factor, as will who can handle the pressure more/who wants a medal more, Miki or Kimmie. If either melts down, I think it'll open the door for Sarah or Carolina.
    Last edited by jaylee; February 1st, 2007 at 10:45 PM.

  20. #20

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    will post my pics after 4CC

  21. Shades

    Quote Originally Posted by Krista View Post
    admit it, you just like saying Tugba
    *I refuse to answer on the grounds that it would most definitely incriminate me in the court of law*


    Tugba's 2006/2007 Ranking At ISU: #61 --- She Moved Up 6 Spots!!
    Kween On Ice -- December ??? & December 27th 2006

  22. #22

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    Quote Originally Posted by uncchristine99 View Post
    All I know is that Mao Asada will win the short program--everything else is a toss-up! Go Alissa!
    In a way, I'm also kinda rooting for Alissa because she's such a beautiful skater, with amazing artistry and musicality. If she's on, watch out!

  23. #23

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    So if no US women are on the podium then does that mean we will not be able to send any in 2008?

  24. #24

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    Quote Originally Posted by MKPerfect6.0 View Post
    So if no US women are on the podium then does that mean we will not be able to send any in 2008?
    MKPerfect6.0, I think as long as an American lady finishes in the top 10, the U.S. can still send 2 skaters to next year's world championships. A podium finish guarantees 3 spots. Someone please correct me if I'm wrong.

    I think we're so used to seeing 3 American female skaters at Worlds that we take it for granted that it will always be the case, but this year things may be different because for the first time in many years, the US actually may not have a female skater on the podium.

  25. #25
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    Default

    I was thinking that if the top two US ladies finish with a total placement sum of 13 or less, we would still get three spots. For instance, if one US lady finishes 6th and another finishes 7th, 6 + 7= 13 (or 5th plus 8th or any combination that gives a sum of 13 or less). Somebody help me out.
    ETA rules from ISU rulebook

    ok. If a country only has one representative in 2007, that one skater has to place 2nd or higher for that country to be able to send 3 skaters next year or she has to place between 3rd and 10th for that country to send two skaters next year.
    If the country has two or more skaters in the 2007, the top two must total 13 or less in their placements for the country to send 3 skaters the next year. Or those top two skaters sum total of placements must be between 14 and 28 to send two skaters next year. I do not see any rule about placing so low that NO skaters from that country would go. It is after all Worlds so I think each country that has a federation in the ISU would always be able to send at least one skater to Worlds every year.

    So even if we somehow were not able to get 13 or lower, I believe we can definitely get 28 or lower in order to at least send two skaters next year.
    Last edited by Lisa Seye; February 4th, 2007 at 05:09 AM.

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